Polymarket Trader

NellyDora

0xca972cdf160266af59af5ad84d0577cb3ac75409

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.77K
Realized PnL: $8.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.12K
User PnL: -$86.3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13.1%
Current value: $102.23
Potential payout: $780.36
Potential profit: $678.13
Multiplier: 7.63x
User PnL: -$48.46

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.79
Potential payout: $714.45
Potential profit: $712.66
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$5.36

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $44.7
Potential payout: $596.04
Potential profit: $551.34
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$87.3

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555.55
Potential profit: $555.55
User PnL: -$5.56

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $430.57
Potential payout: $438.69
Potential profit: $8.12
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.48

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $423.77
Potential profit: $423.77
User PnL: -$68.88

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $14.9
Potential payout: $283.9
Potential profit: $269
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$0.99

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $263.48
Potential payout: $265.2
Potential profit: $1.72
User PnL: $23.91

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $248.88
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$5.13

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249.5
Potential profit: $249.5
User PnL: -$24.22

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $243.4
Potential payout: $245.73
Potential profit: $2.33
User PnL: $24.7

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $236.36
Potential profit: $236.36
User PnL: -$3.55

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $197.78
Potential profit: $197.78
User PnL: -$107.78

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $193.23
Potential payout: $196.47
Potential profit: $3.24
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $20.33

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $2.6
Potential payout: $192.8
Potential profit: $190.2
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$13.79

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $161.99
Potential profit: $161.99
User PnL: -$13.12

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $15.13
Potential payout: $159.25
Potential profit: $144.12
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$13.2

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $154.68
Potential profit: $154.68
User PnL: -$74.28

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $142.11
Potential payout: $150.38
Potential profit: $8.27
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $23.31

No position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $149.48
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $0.53
User PnL: $8.98

No position

World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $139.78
Potential payout: $147.06
Potential profit: $7.28
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$2.16

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.21
Potential profit: $142.21
User PnL: -$57.3

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.1%
Current value: $20.95
Potential payout: $139.17
Potential profit: $118.22
Multiplier: 6.64x
User PnL: -$1.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $997.3

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $806.33

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $530.43

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $488.4

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $367.38

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $359.34

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $347

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $306.96

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $287.29

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $206.03

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.13

Yes position

Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.78

Yes position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.17

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.27

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170

Yes position

Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.67

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.4

Yes position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.88

No position

US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.01

No position

Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.01

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.16

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.01

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.87

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 63% 50 shares
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?

No 82% 0.01 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 57% 15.19 shares
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Yes 99.9% 6.15 shares
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Yes 99% 1.32 shares
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Yes 99% 2.87 shares
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Yes 99% 1.99 shares
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Yes 99% 1.57 shares
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Yes 99% 1.18 shares
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Yes 82% 15.08 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 95.5% 25.07 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 95.5% 25.03 shares