No position
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $103.29
- Potential payout
- $104.18
- Potential profit
- $0.89
- User PnL
- $51.2
Polymarket Trader
0xca98...e4f9
0xca982fcaf89c860e62832b784ae766989adde4f9
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $104.18
- Realized PnL
- $59.6
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.89
- Potential payout
- $104.18
- Potential profit
- $103.29
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$51.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.09
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37
No position
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 French Open?
Ends Jun 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Spain power outage caused by hack?
Ends May 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Starostové get between 13% and 16% of the vote in the Czech election?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
Ends Aug 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease?
Ends Apr 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will George Russell win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Trump publicly disparage Netanyahu before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Cameron Ward be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?
Ends Apr 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Was JFK assassinated by a foreign government?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
50% tariff goes into effect on EU by July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Uzo Aduba win the Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series?
Ends Sep 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 5-11?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% or more in July?
Ends Aug 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% or less in May?
Ends Jun 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% or more in April?
Ends May 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will George Simion win by over 18%?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by December 31?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?No 99.1% 6.25 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?No 96.8% 6.25 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 5-11?No 97.8% 8.49 shares
- Will the Ravens win the AFC Championship?No 90.8% 6.63 shares
- Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by December 31?No 98.4% 8.7 shares
- Will the Indianapolis Colts make the playoffs?No 98.8% 9.72 shares
- Will the Ravens win the AFC Championship?No 99.1% 6.64 shares
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?No 98.5% 9.56 shares
- Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?No 94.4% 7.13 shares
- Zohran Mamdani ParlayNo 91% 16.52 shares
- Zohran Mamdani ParlayNo 99.3% 16.53 shares
- Will 'The Life of a Showgirl (feat. Sabrina Carpenter)' be the most streamed song on 'The Life of a Showgirl' on Oct 10th?No 97.9% 9.25 shares