Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $624
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.38K
- Multiplier
- 6.41x
- User PnL
- $192
Polymarket Trader
0xCAa2DD076864564c392E1eBD01d6b7F150a215EA-1775507441257
0xcaa2dd076864564c392e1ebd01d6b7f150a215ea
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.53K
- Realized PnL
- $1.58K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $120.1
- Potential payout
- $2.31K
- Potential profit
- $2.19K
- Multiplier
- 19.23x
- User PnL
- $20.1
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.74K
- Potential profit
- $1.74K
- User PnL
- -$110
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $742.86
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $757.87
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $242.86
Yes position
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $666.67
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $6.14
- Potential payout
- $454.55
- Potential profit
- $448.41
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$3.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.19
- Potential payout
- $374.99
- Potential profit
- $374.8
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$18.16
Yes position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $20.59
- Potential payout
- $355.01
- Potential profit
- $334.42
- Multiplier
- 17.24x
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $350.57
- Potential profit
- $350.57
- User PnL
- -$12.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $213.5
- Potential profit
- $213.39
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $173.42
- Potential profit
- $173.42
- User PnL
- -$20.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or below on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $157.64
- Potential profit
- $157.64
- User PnL
- -$23.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C or below on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115.44
- Potential profit
- $115.44
- User PnL
- -$6.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115.36
- Potential profit
- $115.36
- User PnL
- -$12.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $81.75
- Potential profit
- $81.75
- User PnL
- -$3.18
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $2.21
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $69.21
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- -$2.79
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$8.75
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $9.74
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $42.89
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.63
- Potential profit
- $50.63
- User PnL
- -$40
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.86
- Potential profit
- $48.86
- User PnL
- -$2.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.99
- Potential profit
- $38.99
- User PnL
- -$2.74
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.27
- Potential profit
- $36.27
- User PnL
- -$8.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.63
- Potential profit
- $25.63
- User PnL
- -$12.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.21
- Potential profit
- $25.21
- User PnL
- -$15.29
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $406.06
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $331.81
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $138.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.43
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.84
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or higher on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.37
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.84
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C or higher on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.48
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.83
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C or below on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.56
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.88
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.46
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.31
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 33.3% 1,500.73 shares
- Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?Yes 15% 666.67 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 14.4% 8,576.38 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 14.2% 8,576.37 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 19% 52.63 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?Yes 6% 1,666.67 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?Yes 14% 71.43 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 7% 71.43 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 2.2% 454.55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on June 17?Yes 3% 213.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on June 16?No 24% 36.27 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C or higher on June 16?No 78% 19.11 shares