Polymarket Trader

0xCaA6Ec292292bc6a29A268C77492e5a3f0c9FB26-1772848957491

0xcaa6ec292292bc6a29a268c77492e5a3f0c9fb26

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $38.29
Realized PnL: $159.16
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.08K
Potential profit: $5.08K
User PnL: -$55

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $390.54
Potential profit: $390.54
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $5.21
Potential payout: $281.42
Potential profit: $276.21
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: $3.96

Yes position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.64
Potential profit: $113.64
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $20.19
Potential payout: $96.15
Potential profit: $75.96
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$29.81

Yes position

Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $69.46
Potential profit: $68.8
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $58.61
Potential profit: $57.97
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will Andrey Gyurov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.24
Potential profit: $53.24
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.27
Potential profit: $38.27
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.65
Potential profit: $31.65
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 62.6%
Current value: $4.7
Potential payout: $7.51
Potential profit: $2.8
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 81.9%
Current value: $5.06
Potential payout: $6.18
Potential profit: $1.12
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.5
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $1.33
Potential payout: $1.49
Potential profit: $0.16
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.33

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.43

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.58

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35.79

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.09

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.08

Yes position

Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.03

No position

Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.13

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.89

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.75

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.56

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44

No position

Will Assen Vassilev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.38

No position

Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.14

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.09

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9-12%?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Tisza win 100–109 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Tisza win 110–119 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 80.9% 6.18 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 66.6% 7.51 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 96.6% 5.18 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?

No 95.2% 5.25 shares
Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

No 94.7% 12.82 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?

No 96.3% 4.15 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 96.9% 5.16 shares
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.7% 58.61 shares
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 67% 1.49 shares
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.4% 281.42 shares
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 25% 5 shares
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.8% 69.46 shares