No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $982.96
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $327.65
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $445.61
Polymarket Trader
autumnwolf
0xcaaf808e66191bfb9782517be7c55599c0518031
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.46K
- Realized PnL
- $6.03
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $371.01
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $704.7
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $120.95
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.4%
- Current value
- $102.15
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $797.85
- Multiplier
- 8.81x
- User PnL
- $18.45
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $750.01
- Potential profit
- $750.01
- User PnL
- -$567.51
Yes position
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $729.06
- Potential profit
- $729.06
- User PnL
- -$240.59
Yes position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $454.55
- Potential profit
- $454.55
- User PnL
- -$250
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $6.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 9.3% 900 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 20% 202.61 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 51% 75.37 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 24% 873.1 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 43% 75.37 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 41% 2,021.95 shares
- Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?Yes 33% 729.06 shares
- Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?Yes 55% 454.55 shares