Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $30.06
- Potential payout
- $30.06
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.06
Polymarket Trader
0baega
@fffxfg
0xcacfaf9b3fb5734e325b8411b6adb5826d66bd12
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $70.32
- Realized PnL
- $34.07
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $20.59
- Potential payout
- $23.53
- Potential profit
- $2.94
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $19.67
- Potential payout
- $21.98
- Potential profit
- $2.31
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.58
- Potential profit
- $6.58
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.37
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
No position
Will the government shutdown end November 11?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
Yes position
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 6?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 11?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 26?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 20?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 85% 23.53 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 91% 21.98 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 1?Yes 99.8% 30.06 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 98.6% 40.57 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 75% 26.67 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?No 96.3% 62.33 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?No 99.8% 20.04 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No 95.3% 20.98 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 6?No 98.3% 20.35 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 99.9% 15.82 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 72% 9.33 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No 83% 6.02 shares