No position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.61
- Potential profit
- $5.61
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Polymarket Trader
sdfgszdfzs
0xcad123a7de15edc9c2bb794d1a32671faf835538
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.71
- Realized PnL
- $5.15
- Win rate
- 73.9%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.44
- Potential profit
- $4.44
- User PnL
- -$1.11
No position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.06
- Potential profit
- $3.06
- User PnL
- -$1.01
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.4
- Potential payout
- $2.4
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.17
- Potential payout
- $2.17
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $1.11
- Potential payout
- $1.11
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.1B?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $1.07
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5AM ET
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Will Evelyn Matthei come in fourth in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 24?
Ends Nov 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will RadarScope be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by May 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Foreign intervention in Gaza by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 157m and 167m?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.1B?Yes 98.8% 1.07 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 99.6% 1.07 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?No 99.9% 1.41 shares
- Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?No 99.7% 1.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 14?No 99.9% 1.63 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 14?No 99.5% 1.35 shares
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 99.9% 1.24 shares
- Will RadarScope be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?No 99.7% 1.54 shares
- Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by May 31?No 99.8% 2.4 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No 99.9% 2.17 shares
- DOJ reopens Powell investigation by May 15?No 99.7% 1.24 shares
- Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?No 99.4% 1.39 shares