Polymarket Trader

reconman

0xcad402b53af13a80efd2c5ed1b136bf8e0b0317a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.88K
Realized PnL: $3.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $15K
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $3.42K
Potential payout: $3.95K
Potential profit: $533.72
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $19.77

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $1.94K
Potential payout: $2.72K
Potential profit: $774.66
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$6.54

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 30-April 5?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.86K
Potential profit: $1.86K
User PnL: -$1.86

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $1.38K
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $449.43
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$27.51

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.16K
User PnL: -$110.31

Yes position

Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 24-30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555.09
Potential profit: $555.09
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $6.75
Potential payout: $500.01
Potential profit: $493.26
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $4.83
Potential payout: $460.23
Potential profit: $455.39
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$1.17

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $2.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $397.8
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $357.88
Potential profit: $357.88
User PnL: -$132.33

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23.1%
Current value: $67.89
Potential payout: $294.54
Potential profit: $226.65
Multiplier: 4.34x
User PnL: $7.89

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 7-13?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $288.1
Potential profit: $288.1
User PnL: -$4.65

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $276.19
Potential profit: $272.19
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $5.33
Potential payout: $248.89
Potential profit: $243.57
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$1.61

Yes position

Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.19
Potential profit: $185.19
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 12.8%
Current value: $22.54
Potential payout: $176.09
Potential profit: $153.55
Multiplier: 7.81x
User PnL: $8.04

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $2.08
Potential payout: $153.85
Potential profit: $151.77
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $3.07
Potential payout: $130.44
Potential profit: $127.37
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $6.35
Potential payout: $125.66
Potential profit: $119.31
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$3.65

Jeremy Stephens position

UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.29
Potential profit: $113.29
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $4.81
Potential payout: $113.25
Potential profit: $108.44
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $2.01
Potential payout: $89.16
Potential profit: $87.15
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$0.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $780.44

Over position

Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $485.6

Yes position

Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $346.69

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $332.55

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $308.8

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $287.7

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $230.86

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.51

Yes position

Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195.85

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.61

Yes position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.54

Under position

Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.59

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.44

Over position

Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.66

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 23-29?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.53

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.78

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.35

No position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.71

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.96

Yes position

Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.33

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.65

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.01

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

Over position

Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.58

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

No 73% 13.7 shares
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

No 63% 31.75 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 72% 1,111.11 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 77% 1,298.7 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 23.8% 42.02 shares
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Yes 15.7% 31.85 shares
Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan O/U 1.5

Under 91.9% 1,229.18 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 71% 1,607 shares
Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan O/U 1.5

Under 91.8% 1,165.25 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 75% 535.71 shares
Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5

Over 71% 545.45 shares
Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5

Over 79% 10 shares