No position
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $993.67
- Potential payout
- $1.27K
- Potential profit
- $272.15
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$6.33
Polymarket Trader
badmen87
0xcae39042ff53905157706559c58ad2127b51288b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.92K
- Realized PnL
- $1.2K
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $614.61
- Potential payout
- $793.04
- Potential profit
- $178.43
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $22.43
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.4%
- Current value
- $209.45
- Potential payout
- $609.76
- Potential profit
- $400.3
- Multiplier
- 2.91x
- User PnL
- $9.45
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $100.27
- Potential payout
- $543.48
- Potential profit
- $443.21
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $159.98
- Potential profit
- $159.98
- User PnL
- -$105.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $658.77
No position
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $224.25
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $138.37
Yes position
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.3
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.68
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.35
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.4
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffs
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.1
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.15
Yes position
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
Yes position
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.87
Yes position
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Paper Rex position
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3
Michigan Wolverines position
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$9.92
Over position
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.29
Yes position
Epstein client list released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.81
Kolkata Knight Riders position
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Punjab Kings
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$34
Yes position
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$82.89
No position
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 74.7% 793.04 shares
- Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?No 79% 1,265.82 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.4% 543.48 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 32.8% 609.76 shares
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over 37% 93.7 shares
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over 53.4% 93.7 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.8% 196.39 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 76.4% 196.4 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 77% 245.9 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 61% 245.9 shares
- Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in April 2026?Yes 55% 10 shares
- Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in April 2026?Yes 63% 5 shares