No position
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 37.7%
- Current value
- $510.91
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $846.09
- Multiplier
- 2.66x
- User PnL
- $216.44
Polymarket Trader
ToniSmith6275
0xcae4542cfe16ad435778b399aa5ed6f8e402ccec
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $705.98
- Realized PnL
- $4.81K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $118.42
- Potential payout
- $124
- Potential profit
- $5.58
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $8.06
No position
Celonis IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $58.63
- Potential payout
- $67
- Potential profit
- $8.38
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $15.12
- Potential payout
- $28
- Potential profit
- $12.88
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- $6.72
No position
Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $0.91
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will FC Baník Ostrava win on 2026-04-18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $862.96
No position
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $469.64
Yes position
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $339.11
Southern Illinois Salukis position
Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-4.5)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $326.48
Yes position
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $295.68
Yes position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $283.29
Yes position
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $253.12
Yes position
Will Ninjas in Pyjamas qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $238.92
Yes position
Will "Project Hail Mary" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.6
Yes position
Will Trump say "Golden Dome / Golden Age" this week? (March 1)
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.86
Yes position
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.4
Yes position
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $146.4
Yes position
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $141.4
No position
Will Spike Jonze win Best Director of Commercials at the 78th DGA Awards?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.12
No position
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.21
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.59
Yes position
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $88.38
No position
Will No Me Conoce - Remix be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.41
Yes position
Will "Megapixel" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $76.57
Yes position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75%?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.48
Yes position
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.37
Yes position
Will Trump say “Pocahontas” by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $70.65
Yes position
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $70.2
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer say "Opportunity" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?No 56% 988 shares
- Celonis IPO before 2027?No 69% 937 shares
- Celonis IPO before 2027?No 87% 1,004 shares
- Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?No 58% 988 shares
- Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?No 87% 935 shares
- Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?No 83% 1,049 shares
- Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?No 87% 935 shares
- Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?No 84% 1,049 shares
- Will the DHS shutdown last 70 days or more?No 33% 919 shares
- Will the DHS shutdown last 70 days or more?No 33% 919 shares
- Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No 61% 86 shares
- Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No 61% 87 shares