No position
Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above $7.5B?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $4.6
- Potential payout
- $19.59
- Potential profit
- $14.99
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $4.6
Polymarket Trader
0xcaee...964c
0xcaeeb65e59bb976ad1e6021b3b4eaf925270964c
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $15.53
- Realized PnL
- $162.46
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $2.91
- Potential payout
- $18.76
- Potential profit
- $15.85
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $2.91
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during Pennsylvania events?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $1.72
- Potential payout
- $9.82
- Potential profit
- $8.1
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $1.72
No position
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $5.04
- Potential payout
- $8.2
- Potential profit
- $3.16
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Mamdani team sweeps primaries?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $1.26
- Potential payout
- $4.84
- Potential profit
- $3.58
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- $1.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
No position
Will Marvell Q1 Data Center revenue be above $1.85B?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.7
Yes position
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" or "Biden" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.73
No position
Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" this week?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.09
Yes position
Will Meta (META) close above $540 end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.61
No position
Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.01
No position
Will Trump say "Jesus Christ" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.91
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Drug" during Wisconsin events?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.84
Yes position
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $280 on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.81
Yes position
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.78
Yes position
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $280 end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.59
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.57
Yes position
Will Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.55
No position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during events with Rutte?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.47
No position
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3
No position
Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $11.0B?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Wisconsin events?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.85
Yes position
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $144 end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.78
No position
Will Trump say "Job" 12+ times during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.55
Yes position
FDA approves MannKind's Afrezza?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.55
Yes position
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $146 end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.37
No position
Will Trump post "Midterm" on Truth Social this week?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.31
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Maduro" this week?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Oracle Q4 Remaining Performance Obligations be above $600B?No 83% 5.69 shares
- Will Oracle 2026 capital expenditures be above $55B?No 63% 6.13 shares
- Will Oracle Q4 Cloud revenue be above $10B?No 65% 5.08 shares
- Will Trump say "Lion" this week?No 90% 4.99 shares
- Will Trump say "Hottest Nation" this week?Yes 48.3% 6.73 shares
- Will Trump say "Scam" during Wisconsin events?Yes 66% 5 shares
- FDA approves Vepdegestrant?Yes 98% 5 shares
- Will Trump say "Midnight Hammer" this week?No 92% 2.71 shares
- Will Trump say "Coal" 20+ times during coal announcement?No 74% 5 shares
- Will Trump say "Maduro" this week?Yes 44% 7.68 shares
- Will Trump say "Landslide" during Wisconsin events?Yes 62% 5.29 shares
- Will Trump say "President Xi" during Wisconsin events?No 44% 8.7 shares