No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $20.13K
- Potential payout
- $23K
- Potential profit
- $2.88K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $3.34K
Polymarket Trader
0xcAF1946d13A1A7967f5d3c76780D012E56b09ad1-1775146417402
0xcaf1946d13a1a7967f5d3c76780d012e56b09ad1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20.13K
- Realized PnL
- $5.24K
- Win rate
- 88.2%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.98K
- Potential profit
- $11.98K
- User PnL
- -$1.32K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.5K
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.12K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.39K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33K
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47K
No position
Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17K
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $769.99
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.31
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.23
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.93
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 52 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.84K
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$26.03K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?No 90% 20,453.6 shares
- Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?No 90% 2,181.48 shares
- Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?No 85.7% 1,955.72 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Yes 11.3% 9,131.43 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 80% 24,663.88 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 69.6% 30,831.78 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Yes 44.3% 16,600.14 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 80% 386.33 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 80% 762 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 80% 215.12 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 80.1% 3,116.62 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 72% 15,163.94 shares