Yes position
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.3K
- Potential profit
- $5.3K
- User PnL
- -$42.04
Polymarket Trader
ooops
0xcb14f61711d913773f4b982af340fa7eae175358
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15.49K
- Realized PnL
- $47.94K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 50
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Ilia Topuria position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.8K
- Potential profit
- $3.8K
- User PnL
- -$2.99K
Yes position
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.73K
- Potential profit
- $3.73K
- User PnL
- -$27.34
Yes position
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.53K
- Potential profit
- $3.53K
- User PnL
- -$322.95
Yes position
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.19K
- Potential profit
- $3.19K
- User PnL
- -$93.18
Yes position
Will Greece be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.51K
- Potential profit
- $2.51K
- User PnL
- -$35.28
No position
Weed rescheduled by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $2.04K
- Potential payout
- $2.07K
- Potential profit
- $29.99
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $284.38
Yes position
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.05K
- Potential profit
- $2.05K
- User PnL
- -$128.78
Over position
AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 2.5
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.95K
- Potential profit
- $1.95K
- User PnL
- -$1.17K
Yes position
Will Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.87K
- Potential profit
- $1.87K
- User PnL
- -$50.7
Yes position
Will Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.83K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- User PnL
- -$25.81
Yes position
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.81K
- Potential profit
- $1.81K
- User PnL
- -$276.66
Over position
Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.81K
- Potential profit
- $1.81K
- User PnL
- -$1.1K
No position
Weed rescheduled by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.2%
- Current value
- $1.23K
- Potential payout
- $1.68K
- Potential profit
- $451.43
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $313.06
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $1.65K
- User PnL
- -$859.48
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1.6K
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- $3.2
Yes position
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.58K
- Potential profit
- $1.58K
- User PnL
- -$54.38
No position
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.47K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- User PnL
- -$778.97
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $38.43
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $1.41K
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $1.63
No position
Will Elon register any party before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $1.32K
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $79.98
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $267
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.28K
Over position
Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- User PnL
- -$893.99
Over position
SV Darmstadt 98 vs. SC Paderborn 07: O/U 3.5
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- -$635.51
Over position
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- -$723.65
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 33.4%
- Current value
- $423.54
- Potential payout
- $1.27K
- Potential profit
- $846.44
- Multiplier
- 3.00x
- User PnL
- -$95.05
Yes position
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$766.99
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1.11K
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $90
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $297
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $1.06K
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $138
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $270
No position
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- User PnL
- -$779.52
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.2%
- Current value
- $882.97
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $307.02
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $726.77
Yes position
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$528.82
No position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $348.73
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $776.2
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- $8.25
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$328.98
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1.05K
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.58
- User PnL
- $138.82
Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $8.76
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$10.19
Yes position
Will Ozzy Lusth win Survivor Season 50?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$294
No position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $895
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $105
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $114.5
Yes position
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $13.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $986.5
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$14.6
Belal Muhammad position
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $999.99
- User PnL
- -$524.99
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $834.99
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $165
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $884.98
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $115
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $149
Under position
O/U 2.5 Rounds
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $989.31
- Potential profit
- $989.31
- User PnL
- -$602.16
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $785.53
- Potential payout
- $963.96
- Potential profit
- $178.43
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $92.8
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $950
- Potential profit
- $950
- User PnL
- -$236.62
No position
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $949.99
- Potential profit
- $949.99
- User PnL
- -$230.99
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $944.77
- Potential payout
- $949.99
- Potential profit
- $5.23
- User PnL
- $37.28
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $15.67
- Potential payout
- $949.99
- Potential profit
- $934.31
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $947.93
- Potential profit
- $947.93
- User PnL
- -$208.61
Yes position
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $931.33
- Potential profit
- $931.33
- User PnL
- -$69.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Eric Adams drop out?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.75K
Yes position
Will Sophi Balerdi win Survivor season 49?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.68K
No position
Will Savannah Louie win Survivor season 49?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.04K
Yes position
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01K
Yes position
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.94K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.9K
Yes position
Was Milei hacked?
Ends Feb 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.69K
Yes position
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.63K
Yes position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.56K
Yes position
Will Rizo Velovic win Survivor season 49?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
Yes position
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
Demoor position
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $998.95
Yes position
Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $988.3
Yes position
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $927.94
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $919.86
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $842.55
No position
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $822.28
Yes position
Will Player 173 win Beast Games: Season 2?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $789.12
Over position
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $768.5
Yes position
Will the N-VA win the most seats in the Belgian federal elections?
Ends Jun 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $763.26
Yes position
Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $725
No position
Will Czechia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?
Ends May 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $721.36
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $702.88
No position
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $691.29
Yes position
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $690.43
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $682.87
Bryce Mitchell position
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $674.96
Over position
AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $660.03
No position
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Ends Dec 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $652.94
Yes position
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $649.38
Yes position
Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $646.77
No position
Lily Phillips sex event cancelled?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $636.51
Yes position
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $636.02
No position
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $634.45
No position
Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $629.49
Yes position
Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $627.29
Yes position
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $616.9
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $614.64
Yes position
Will Gage (Player 974) win the Beast Games?
Ends Feb 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $614.02
Yes position
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $599.06
Yes position
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $587.55
Yes position
Will Player 58 win Beast Games: Season 2?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $585.74
Yes position
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $584.09
Ivan Erslan position
UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $564.93
No position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $551.63
Yes position
Will Time announce Person of the Year on December 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $548.89
Yes position
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $543.12
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $539.76
Over position
Arsenal FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC: O/U 3.5
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $539.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5Over 62% 151.72 shares
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5Over 62% 505.76 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria 83% 200 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria 68% 200 shares
- Will Trump hug anyone at UFC Freedom 250?No 54% 26.47 shares
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder 58% 50 shares
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5Over 62% 505.76 shares
- Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?Yes 66% 202.06 shares
- Will MrBeast attend UFC Freedom 250?No 95.7% 5 shares
- Weed rescheduled by June 30?No 98% 200.16 shares
- Will Donald Trump's tie be blue?Yes 96% 23.95 shares
- Will Donald Trump's tie be blue?Yes 95% 50 shares