Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $32.24
- Potential payout
- $496.03
- Potential profit
- $463.79
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$67.76
Polymarket Trader
0xcB1650af0C9B1676352342e67E1B2D5BA71D57b0-1772448257216
0xcb1650af0c9b1676352342e67e1b2d5ba71d57b0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $32.24
- Realized PnL
- $583.31
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.38
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.99
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.9
No position
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$6.25
Yes position
Will Trump say "Fake news" during Fox interview on Wednesday?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETDown 93% 26.88 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETDown 93% 26.88 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETDown 85.9% 116.43 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETDown 54.7% 45.7 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETDown 55.3% 45.21 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETDown 53% 47.17 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETDown 46% 54.35 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETDown 54% 46.3 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETDown 55% 45.45 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETDown 56% 39.68 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETDown 57% 43.86 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETUp 42% 104.16 shares