Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $1.38
- Potential payout
- $120.3
- Potential profit
- $118.92
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$19.77
Polymarket Trader
0xcb17...2955
0xcb174f67b1b2e70398f380a77c8296644bb22955
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $132.7
- Realized PnL
- $199.26
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $8.35
- Potential payout
- $111.39
- Potential profit
- $103.04
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$50.22
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $36.98
- Potential payout
- $60.12
- Potential profit
- $23.15
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$12.51
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $16.3
- Potential payout
- $48.64
- Potential profit
- $32.35
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $21.62
- Potential payout
- $41.98
- Potential profit
- $20.36
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $3.44
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $7.04
- Potential payout
- $36.12
- Potential profit
- $29.07
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$4.07
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $4.78
- Potential payout
- $22.24
- Potential profit
- $17.46
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$2.29
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $11.38
- Potential payout
- $17.65
- Potential profit
- $6.26
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $1.72
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $13.61
- Potential profit
- $12.59
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.01
Yes position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $13.47
- Potential profit
- $12.59
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$2.15
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $12.88
- Potential profit
- $11.53
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.68
Yes position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $3.25
- Potential payout
- $10.49
- Potential profit
- $7.24
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- -$2.81
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $7.98
- Potential payout
- $9.01
- Potential profit
- $1.04
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $1.82
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $7.96
- Potential profit
- $7.09
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$1.14
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $5.17
- Potential payout
- $7.24
- Potential profit
- $2.06
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $6.27
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
No position
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $2.13
- Potential payout
- $2.28
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $2.24
- Potential profit
- $1.62
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $0.69
- Potential payout
- $1.4
- Potential profit
- $0.71
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $0.86
- Potential payout
- $1.22
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.29
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.01
Yes position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.89
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.32
paiN position
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.61
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.15
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.75
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.54
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.52
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.37
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.22
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.06
TYLOO position
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.81
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.78
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.72
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56
Monte position
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.36
G2 position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.31
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.24
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.1
No position
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 19, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
9z position
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.74
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.65
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Yes 0.2% 3.36 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes 57% 1.77 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 83% 1.22 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 69% 1.46 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 69% 1.46 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 69% 1.46 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 83% 1.22 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 72% 1.4 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 83% 1.22 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes 20% 5.05 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 83% 1.22 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes 56% 1.8 shares