Polymarket Trader

GPA1

0xcb242d2237aa4db2d849d8813a321d69f37dc8e2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $91.83
Realized PnL: $23.5
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $1.18
Potential payout: $51.3
Potential profit: $50.12
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$3.95

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $6.25
Potential payout: $10.78
Potential profit: $4.53
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $0.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $4.2
Potential payout: $10.13
Potential profit: $5.92
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5.2

Yes position

Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $7.2
Potential payout: $9.41
Potential profit: $2.21
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $2.4

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $8.52
Potential payout: $9.26
Potential profit: $0.74
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $3.52

No position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.21
Potential profit: $9.21
User PnL: -$5.22

Yes position

Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.17
Potential profit: $9.17
User PnL: -$4.86

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $6.93
Potential payout: $9
Potential profit: $2.07
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $2.07

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $8.56
Potential profit: $8.41
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: -$4.73

No position

Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $8.22
Potential payout: $8.49
Potential profit: $0.27
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $3.26

Yes position

Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.41
Potential profit: $8.41
User PnL: -$4.88

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.25
Potential profit: $8.25
User PnL: -$5.2

Yes position

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$1.72

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $7.99
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $2.95

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $5.86
Potential payout: $7.52
Potential profit: $1.65
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $0.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.41
Potential profit: $7.41
User PnL: -$5.11

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $7.3
Potential payout: $7.33
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $2.61

Yes position

Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $1.57
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $5.43
Multiplier: 4.45x
User PnL: -$3.33

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $6.69
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$4.73

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $5.56
Potential payout: $6.91
Potential profit: $1.35
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $6.59
Potential payout: $6.73
Potential profit: $0.14
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.34

No position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $6.15
Potential payout: $6.33
Potential profit: $0.17
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.23

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $4.83
Potential payout: $6.32
Potential profit: $1.49
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $0.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.31

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.62

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.31

Yes position

Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.87

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 10?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.76

No position

Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 58% 8.41 shares
Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 53% 9.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 30?

Up 48% 10.13 shares
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?

Yes 51% 9.41 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?

Yes 49% 10.78 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Yes 76% 6.24 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 29?

Up 69% 7.41 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 29?

Yes 50% 10.4 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 29?

Yes 52% 10 shares
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Yes 63% 8.25 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Yes 75.3% 6.22 shares
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Yes 59% 8 shares