Yes position
Will Al Carns be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.06
- Multiplier
- 21.28x
- User PnL
- -$5.66
Polymarket Trader
BOTNIT
0xcb32872111c3a366664c8805d6900394a647e1c8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.22
- Realized PnL
- $37.95
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Carlos Moore win the 2026 GA-13 special election?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $0.78
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.22
- Multiplier
- 25.64x
- User PnL
- -$8.22
Yes position
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $6.8
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $13.2
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$2.2
N
No position
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $2.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.3
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$5.1
Yes position
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?
Ends Feb 12, 2027- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$5.4
N
No position
Will ONSIDE GAMING Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$9.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.3%
- Multiplier
- 8.89x
- User PnL
- $17.5
No position
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $5.94
No position
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $3.6
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27
N
No position
Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Y
Yes position
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 52%
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 66%
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.2
N
No position
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Puffpaw launch a token by March 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 62%
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will Marcus Rashford join Aston Villa?
Ends Sep 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026?Yes 21% 19.99 shares
- Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Yes 34% 20 shares
- Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?Yes 33% 20 shares
- Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 95 mph?Yes 31% 20 shares
- Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?No 36% 20 shares
- Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No 52% 20 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?No 16% 10.47 shares
- Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes 48% 40 shares
- Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes 38% 20 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?No 77% 14.08 shares
- Will Alcide Ponga be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?No 47% 20 shares
- Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?No 18% 20 shares