Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by November 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.69
- Potential profit
- $50.69
- User PnL
- -$7
Polymarket Trader
Thalvoryx
0xcb4e00b21f3ff431595116320320da24d494d15d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $58.9
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31
- Potential profit
- $31
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 45-46°F on November 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.38
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on November 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.24
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on November 22?
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.79
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will Trump save TikTok in first week?
Ends Jan 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 17?
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 7?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 22?Yes 48.4% 13.43 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 22?Yes 16.1% 31 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on May 22?Yes 46% 21.72 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on May 22?Yes 58.4% 34.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 22?Yes 43% 23.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 22?Yes 7.5% 40 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 22?Yes 51% 29.41 shares
- Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes 84.4% 7.11 shares
- Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes 95.3% 8.57 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 22?Yes 14.1% 7.09 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 21?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Solana reach $150 November 17-23?Yes 6% 16.67 shares