Polymarket Trader

RSL574

0xcb4fedcec9ff430638c169eed2e5d984579092c0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.06K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 1
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $495.64
Potential payout: $981.46
Potential profit: $485.82
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$14.72

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$6.3

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270
Potential profit: $270
User PnL: -$3.09

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$76

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $197.3
Potential payout: $197.3
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $86.81

Yes position

Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 18.6%
Current value: $22.45
Potential payout: $121
Potential profit: $98.55
Multiplier: 5.39x
User PnL: -$20.07

Yes position

Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $21.08
Potential payout: $108.1
Potential profit: $87.02
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$9.95

No position

Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $49.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $50.5
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Another pandemic before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $49.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $50.5
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.4%
Current value: $50.44
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $49.56
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.55
Potential profit: $96.55
User PnL: -$10.52

No position

Will Winston Peters be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $87.68
Potential payout: $88.43
Potential profit: $0.75
User PnL: $2.87

Yes position

Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $1.71
Potential payout: $79.94
Potential profit: $78.23
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$1.88

No position

Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $28.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $21.25
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $26.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $23.25
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $3.25

Yes position

Will voter turnout be between 82% and 84% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 8.4%
Current value: $3.87
Potential payout: $46.03
Potential profit: $42.16
Multiplier: 11.90x
User PnL: -$2.08

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.98
Potential profit: $44.98
User PnL: -$7.2

Yes position

Will voter turnout be 84% or higher in the 2026 New Zealand general election?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 7.6%
Current value: $2.51
Potential payout: $32.98
Potential profit: $30.47
Multiplier: 13.16x
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $10.35
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $19.65
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$2.15

No position

Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $15.98
Potential payout: $28.28
Potential profit: $12.3
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$3.54

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 1.3% 20 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 0.7% 70 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 56% 97.3 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 38% 100 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 2.1% 100 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 56% 100 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 38% 100 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 2.1% 200 shares
Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Yes 35% 10 shares
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?

Yes 29% 80 shares
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?

Yes 29% 12 shares
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour?

Yes 2.3% 7.15 shares