Polymarket Trader

lakemichigan

0xcb59c3db857bae4b9dd41385b152c5d607aee21d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $8.54K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump say "Christmas" in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $179.99
Potential profit: $179.99
User PnL: -$134.04

Yes position

Will Trump say "Frog" in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.7
Potential profit: $91.7
User PnL: -$76.2

Yes position

Will Bernie say "Coffee" during Fighting Oligarchy?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.99
Potential profit: $89.99
User PnL: -$45.69

Yes position

Will Trump say "Lion" this week?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.79
Potential profit: $14.79
User PnL: -$5.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump say "Confucius" or "Confucian" during Chinese State Banquet?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29K

Yes position

Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" this week? (April 5)

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $554.45

Yes position

Will Trump say "Kamala" or "Harris" this week? (March 8)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $497.53

Yes position

Will Powell say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during April press conference?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $481.25

Yes position

Will Trump say "Chicken" or "KFC" during Kentucky visit?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $458.92

Yes position

Will Trump say "No No No" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $434.38

Yes position

Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during the FII PRIORITY Summit?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $422.32

Yes position

Will Trump say "DoorDash" or "McDonald's" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $345.1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $316.22

Yes position

Will Trump say "ISIS" during Monday news conference?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $315.54

Yes position

Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (March 29)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $307.82

Yes position

Will Trump say "MIT" or "Massachusetts Institute of Technology" during National Agriculture Day events?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $270.55

Yes position

Will Powell say "Recession" during March press conference?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $266.33

Yes position

Will Trump say "Women's Sports" during National Agriculture Day events?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $265.69

Yes position

Will Leavitt say "Death to America" during the next White House press briefing?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.54

Yes position

Will Trump say "World War II" during Chinese State Banquet?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $246.6

Yes position

Will Trump say "Cat" during healthcare event?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.41

Yes position

Will Trump say "Cuba" during the FII PRIORITY Summit?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $241.46

Yes position

Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week? (March 1)

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $235.87

Yes position

Will Leavitt say "Ayatollah" or "Supreme Leader" during the next White House press briefing?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $231.12

Yes position

Will Trump say "Moon" or "Astronaut" during TPUSA events on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $229.28

Yes position

Will Trump say "Six Seven" in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $221.43

Yes position

Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.21

Yes position

Will Trump say "Steve" or "Witkoff" during CNBC: Squawk Box appearance on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Warsh say "Trend" during June Press Conference?

Yes 99% 140.24 shares
Will Warsh say "Trend" during June Press Conference?

Yes 42.6% 209.8 shares
Will Warsh say "Money" during June Press Conference?

Yes 67% 5 shares
Will Warsh say "Open-Minded" during June Press Conference?

Yes 82.6% 11.51 shares
Will Warsh say "Artificial Intelligence" or "AI" during June Press Conference?

Yes 99% 5.29 shares
Will Warsh say "Artificial Intelligence" or "AI" during June Press Conference?

Yes 68% 5.29 shares
Will Trump say "Zelensky" during meeting with French President?

Yes 83% 111.5 shares
Will Trump say "Bond" in June?

Yes 42% 29.16 shares
Will Trump say "Bond" in June?

Yes 67.7% 29.16 shares
Will Starmer say "Investment" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Yes 72% 3.4 shares
Will Starmer say "Ukraine" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Yes 69.2% 72.52 shares
Will Trump say "Lion" this week?

Yes 40.5% 14.79 shares