No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.17
- Potential profit
- $29.17
- User PnL
- -$20.41
Polymarket Trader
Obsidianvei
0xcb63a19650100b61395d0c6564ea88f50bb30e93
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.42
- Realized PnL
- $652.89
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Current value
- $18.42
- Potential payout
- $19.77
- Potential profit
- $1.35
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Under position
England vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $700
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.17
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$2.36
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$53.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 96.1% 19.77 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 82% 21.5 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 93% 21.51 shares
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5Under 60% 1,750 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 19.7% 597.24 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.5% 597.24 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 94% 58.88 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 91.7% 58.88 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 37% 147.94 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 73% 147.95 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 23?No 71% 3.43 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 23?No 70% 6.79 shares