No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52
- Potential profit
- $52
- User PnL
- -$36.23
Polymarket Trader
matrix114
0xcb6a3af4b7e1d8a2c78fb3b07ab45125d592db02
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $435.24
- Realized PnL
- $802.55
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $49.98
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $4.98
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $49.98
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $49.98
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $2.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $49.98
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C or below on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $48.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$11.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $39.98
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.32
- Potential profit
- $34.32
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Current value
- $29.31
- Potential payout
- $31.41
- Potential profit
- $2.1
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $29.98
- Potential payout
- $30.61
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $28.67
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $1.34
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $29.99
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $17.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $2.1
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.76
- Potential payout
- $10.77
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.76
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-04-19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.3
No position
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-04-25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.44
Thiago Agustin Tirante position
Madrid Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Tommy Paul
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.88
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.05
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.2
No position
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-04-19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.6
No position
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-04-29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.59
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.62
No position
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.59
Vit Kopriva position
Madrid Open: Andrey Rublev vs Vit Kopriva
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.91
No position
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.6
No position
Will Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 1PM ET
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.28
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.66
Amandine Monnot position
Saint-Malo: Alina Korneeva vs Amandine Monnot
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.62
No position
Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-05-25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.23
No position
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Down position
Solana Up or Down - October 29, 3PM ET
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.84
No position
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-04-26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.83
No position
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.66
No position
Will NAC Breda vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 9?No 97% 30 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 9?No 95.5% 31.41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 9?No 98% 30.61 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 8?Yes 92.9% 10.77 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on July 8?No 97.9% 10 shares
- France vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 AND Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5 AND Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5 AND Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5 AND Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? AND Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Belgium? AND Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Switzerland?60.7% 47.22 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 8?No 98% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 8?No 95% 23.85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 8?No 97% 50 shares
- France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance AND France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 AND Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5 AND Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5 AND Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?47.4% 22.83 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on July 8?No 98.9% 6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 8?No 90% 41.05 shares