Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $304.19
- Potential profit
- $304.19
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
ECSArg
0xcb6b754dcc293934e5998c6539c5b2ee6ff6c7f7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.22K
- Realized PnL
- $1.2K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.28
- Potential profit
- $222.28
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.1
- Potential profit
- $222.1
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $219.67
- Potential payout
- $219.78
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- $19.67
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $218.82
- Potential profit
- $218.82
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $217.26
- Potential profit
- $217.26
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $173.84
- Potential payout
- $215.94
- Potential profit
- $42.11
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$26.16
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $212.63
- Potential payout
- $214.02
- Potential profit
- $1.39
- User PnL
- $12.63
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $212.65
- Potential payout
- $212.76
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- $12.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $203.05
- Potential payout
- $212.62
- Potential profit
- $9.57
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $3.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $207.02
- Potential profit
- $207.02
- User PnL
- -$188.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $205.49
- Potential profit
- $205.49
- User PnL
- -$189.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $194.34
- Potential payout
- $204.57
- Potential profit
- $10.23
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $12.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $204.26
- Potential profit
- $204.26
- User PnL
- -$184.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 69°F or below on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $196.65
- Potential profit
- $196.65
- User PnL
- -$175.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $196.44
- Potential profit
- $196.44
- User PnL
- -$176.54
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $183.23
- Potential profit
- $183.23
- User PnL
- -$168.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $177.59
- Potential profit
- $177.59
- User PnL
- -$42.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $176.9
- Potential profit
- $176.9
- User PnL
- -$72.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $167.9
- Potential profit
- $167.9
- User PnL
- -$66.84
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.6
- Potential profit
- $166.6
- User PnL
- -$152.31
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $165.07
- Potential profit
- $165.07
- User PnL
- -$151.47
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $137.8
- Potential profit
- $137.8
- User PnL
- -$124.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C or higher on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or higher on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.62
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.98
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.88
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.75
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.68
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.59
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.49
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.72
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 17?No 97.1% 51.71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 18?No 91% 50.53 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 18?No 94.3% 53.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 18?No 89.9% 62.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on June 18?No 85.2% 201.29 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 18?No 94.1% 212.62 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 18?No 92.6% 215.94 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 18?No 72.4% 53.92 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 18?No 93.4% 53.52 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 18?No 85% 50.53 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 18?No 93% 67.72 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 18?No 94.4% 135.33 shares