Yes position
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $310.5
- Potential payout
- $9K
- Potential profit
- $8.69K
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- $260.52
Polymarket Trader
mp
0xcb78259d88449ac1b86188818cdca7e185e1e180
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $902.14
- Realized PnL
- $510.79
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $2.16
- Potential payout
- $480
- Potential profit
- $477.84
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Canva IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $425.33
- Potential payout
- $477.89
- Potential profit
- $52.57
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $97.96
Yes position
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $40.49
- Potential payout
- $299.95
- Potential profit
- $259.46
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$40.49
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$17.5
Yes position
Will Márcio França win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.24
- Potential payout
- $158.11
- Potential profit
- $157.87
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.03
No position
Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $121.75
- Potential payout
- $139.15
- Potential profit
- $17.39
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $29.92
Yes position
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $1.49
- Potential payout
- $119.06
- Potential profit
- $117.57
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $19.2
- Potential profit
- $19.02
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$14.22
No position
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.61
- Potential profit
- $3.61
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.95
Yes position
Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $84.04
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.3
No position
Brex IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $30.03
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $29.51
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.54
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.7
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.22
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.58
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.68
No position
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $13.5
Yes position
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.32
Yes position
Will Ricardo Nunes win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?
Ends Oct 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.24
Yes position
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.95
Yes position
US debt downgrade in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.3
No position
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $6.99
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.69
Yes position
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.9
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $5.4
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.19
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.44
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Multiplier
- 7.30x
- User PnL
- $4.33
Yes position
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 99.1% 300 shares
- Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?Yes 89.6% 428.76 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 89% 300 shares
- Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?Yes 70% 428.77 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 39% 500 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 12.8% 100 shares
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?No 11.2% 350 shares
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?No 14.3% 350 shares
- Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 5.4% 160.57 shares
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes 66.9% 26.25 shares
- Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 66% 21.5 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 45% 250 shares