Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $25.94
- Potential profit
- $25.8
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Polymarket Trader
vagrant13
0xcb7c467fc12eb219b1cdbea6e3d93afff07c58c1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.75
- Realized PnL
- $22.89
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.51
- Potential profit
- $19.51
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.26
- Potential profit
- $9.26
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.1%
- Current value
- $1.47
- Potential payout
- $9.17
- Potential profit
- $7.7
- Multiplier
- 6.23x
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $2.77
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $3.9
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $1.77
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.8%
- Current value
- $2.04
- Potential payout
- $5.7
- Potential profit
- $3.66
- Multiplier
- 2.80x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $0.53
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.48
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Yes position
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $1.47
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.53
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $0.71
- Potential payout
- $3.58
- Potential profit
- $2.87
- Multiplier
- 5.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.45
- Potential profit
- $3.45
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $2.86
- Potential profit
- $1.73
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $0.31
- Potential payout
- $2.78
- Potential profit
- $2.47
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $0.51
- Potential payout
- $2.63
- Potential profit
- $2.12
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $0.68
- Potential payout
- $2.08
- Potential profit
- $1.41
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.89
- Potential profit
- $1.89
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.08
Yes position
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.43
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.2%
- Multiplier
- 2.12x
- User PnL
- $2.58
Yes position
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 5?Yes 47.7% 7.51 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 5?Yes 35% 2.86 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on July 5?Yes 3.9% 25.94 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on July 5?Yes 20% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 5?Yes 13.3% 7.52 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 5?Yes 48% 2.08 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 5?Yes 27.9% 3.58 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 5?Yes 38% 2.63 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on July 5?Yes 15% 6.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 5?Yes 36% 2.78 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 4?Yes 21.8% 7.63 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 4?Yes 22% 7.14 shares