Polymarket Trader

m33zy

0xcb7e3d657015db0a9314bcca3b09a3d2d4fc28dd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.19K
Realized PnL: $1.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $910.57
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $791.43
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$10.46

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $766.13
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $368.88
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $3.7

Yes position

Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$555.18

No position

Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $436.88
Potential payout: $688
Potential profit: $251.12
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $75.98

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $90.52
Potential payout: $584
Potential profit: $493.48
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $0.91

No position

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $361.85
Potential payout: $473
Potential profit: $111.15
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $20.46

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $5.18
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $444.83
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.67

No position

Will Cristopher Sánchez lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Ends Sep 28, 2026

Implied probability: 83.2%
Current value: $343.41
Potential payout: $413
Potential profit: $69.59
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $11.76

No position

Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $254.6
Potential payout: $335
Potential profit: $80.4
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $77.97

Yes position

World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $13.68
Potential payout: $282
Potential profit: $268.32
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: -$0.42

No position

Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $242.2
Potential payout: $280
Potential profit: $37.8
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $9.54

No position

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $13.44
Potential payout: $280
Potential profit: $266.56
Multiplier: 20.83x
User PnL: $6.44

No position

Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $246.97
Potential payout: $247.09
Potential profit: $0.12
User PnL: $141.91

No position

Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $241.51
Potential profit: $241.39
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$51.74

No position

Will Switzerland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $74.88
Potential payout: $234
Potential profit: $159.12
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: -$9.36

Yes position

Will Iran be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $224.89
Potential payout: $225
Potential profit: $0.11
User PnL: $133.13

Yes position

Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $161.7
Potential payout: $196
Potential profit: $34.3
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $30.38

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $18.86
Potential payout: $184
Potential profit: $165.14
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$3.22

No position

Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $160
User PnL: -$25.6

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $4.59
Potential payout: $85
Potential profit: $80.41
Multiplier: 18.52x
User PnL: -$2.04

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$1.26

Yes position

Will Aaron Judge lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?

Ends Sep 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $54.81
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$9.97

Yes position

Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $3.04
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $41.96
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Senegal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $16.65
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $28.35
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $6.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $951

Yes position

Will Tunisia be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.36

Yes position

Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.32

No position

Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.44

Yes position

Will New Zealand be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.76

Yes position

Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.42

No position

Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.55

No position

Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.93

Yes position

Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.48

Yes position

Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.15

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.18

Yes position

Will Haiti be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.63

No position

Will AC Milan finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.66

No position

Will USA be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.06

No position

Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $9.87

Yes position

Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.8

No position

Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.54

No position

Will "Scary Movie" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.47

Yes position

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: $6.83

No position

Will Senegal be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.99

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.69

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.52

Yes position

Will José Ramírez lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season?

Ends Sep 28, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: $5.49

Yes position

Will Georgia win the 2026 College World Series?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.39

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?

No 16% 87 shares
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 6.8% 45 shares
Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 27% 12 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?

No 16% 20 shares
Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 25.5% 21 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?

No 16% 30 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?

No 16% 30 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 68% 26 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

No 54% 498 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 68% 40 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

No 54% 32 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 68% 18 shares