No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $11.26K
- Potential payout
- $13.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.76K
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $2.05K
Polymarket Trader
qizhan
@ZhangQizhan
0xcb84e2d4354beebe199ab57c5a51e0ee96914fbc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.99K
- Realized PnL
- $58.39K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $3.5K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $500
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $300
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $3.21K
- Potential payout
- $3.25K
- Potential profit
- $40.65
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $16.66
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.7%
- Current value
- $17.37
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $3.63
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $4.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.66K
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.57K
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.06K
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $3.85K
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.78K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.52K
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25K
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.07K
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64K
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.56K
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34K
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $921.95
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $900
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $900
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $818.71
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $726
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.6% 375,047.52 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.7% 12,590.64 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.3% 1,252.02 shares
- Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 97.1% 2,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 0.1% 660.47 shares
- Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 97% 456.39 shares
- Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 96.5% 13,376.2 shares
- Iran leadership change by December 31?No 71% 1,891.65 shares
- Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?No 99.5% 7.9 shares
- Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?No 99.5% 2,662 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 37% 2,127.23 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 0.1% 3,000 shares