No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $474.29
- Potential payout
- $496.64
- Potential profit
- $22.35
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $7.45
Polymarket Trader
0xcb85...d126
0xcb85870a2f779fd56d133edb55e05a12d85dd126
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $531.27
- Realized PnL
- $10.67
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $56.97
- Potential payout
- $57
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $4.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by April 30?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.53
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.13
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.89x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.9% 468.19 shares
- New "Stranger Things" episode released by April 30?No 99.1% 521.17 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes 99.9% 516.51 shares
- Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?Yes 99.8% 310.01 shares
- US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?Yes 99.9% 4 shares