Yes position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$66
Polymarket Trader
mancer
0xcb9599b7b61bc454c96fb396b67920bfa35d6da1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $134.98
- Realized PnL
- $227.28
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $134.98
- Potential payout
- $1.59K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$239.14
No position
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $999.99
- User PnL
- -$24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8?
Ends Nov 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $262.48
Vance position
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $260.98
No position
Another Iran strike on Israel in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.11
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$414.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 0.2% 2,347 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 18% 2,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 23% 700 shares
- Will there be a US Government shutdown?No 1% 1,000 shares