Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $43.93
- Potential payout
- $2.14K
- Potential profit
- $2.1K
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $13.93
Polymarket Trader
maRu118877
0xcb992beddc290938bf4841b309940a84d80115d6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $986.43
- Realized PnL
- $447.36
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $169.5
- Potential payout
- $269.04
- Potential profit
- $99.54
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- -$58
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $27
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $173
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $107.68
- Potential payout
- $170.91
- Potential profit
- $63.24
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- -$16.25
Yes position
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $158.07
- Potential payout
- $165
- Potential profit
- $6.93
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$1.68
Yes position
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $140.18
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $9.82
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $17.18
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $1.2
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.8
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.29
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $98.15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $1.85
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $48.15
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77.9
- Potential profit
- $77.9
- User PnL
- -$9.66
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $52.16
- Potential payout
- $57
- Potential profit
- $4.84
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.99
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.54
- Potential profit
- $50.54
- User PnL
- -$1.87
Anthropic + OpenAI position
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $50.21
- Potential payout
- $50.48
- Potential profit
- $0.28
- User PnL
- $0.23
SpaceX position
SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $49.75
- Potential payout
- $50.48
- Potential profit
- $0.73
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $43.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $1.58
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.43
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.93
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$5.93
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$38.9
No position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.4%
- Current value
- $25.22
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $24.78
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$13.8
Yes position
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $39.94
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$20.87
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $3.13
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $21.88
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.88
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $14.81
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3.9
Utah position
Utah vs. Golden Knights
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 1?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.56
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.73
JD Gaming position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.5
Yes position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.82
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.5
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.4
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.67
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.22
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.9
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $8.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.47
Yes position
Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.05
No position
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.86
No position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.25
Yes position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.91
Yes position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.74
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 13?
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
Yes position
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.41
Yes position
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.64
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 69% 70.91 shares
- Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?Anthropic + OpenAI 99% 50.48 shares
- SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?SpaceX 99% 50.48 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 70.3% 50 shares
- Xi Jinping out by June 30?No 99% 60 shares
- Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 97.3% 25 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?No 3.7% 50.54 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes 68.7% 50.99 shares
- Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes 85% 22.08 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?Yes 99% 101 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 85% 75 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?Yes 99.3% 100.7 shares