Polymarket Trader

ChillFail

0xcb9c9a7c2d271cbea80462efd50a6518b1b6e356

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $39.72
Realized PnL: $12.05
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $16.97
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $14.99
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$14.7

No position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$14.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $14
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $14
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 5°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$10.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $11
User PnL: -$0.22

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $11
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $11
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $11
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $11
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $7.76
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $3.25
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$2.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will "BEEF: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

No position

Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03

Yes position

Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

No position

Will the Green Party win control of the most London borough councils?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will MrBeast's video get 70 million or more views on day 4?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will Eligia Santucci win the 2026 San Nicola La Strada mayoral election?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Gemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

No position

Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

No position

Will Bill Cassidy finish first in the first round of the Louisiana Republican Senate primary?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 63.5 and 64 million views in week 1?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Christine Bish advance from the CA-03 primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or higher on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 30?

No 98.8% 10 shares
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

No 99.9% 17 shares
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?

Yes 91% 11 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 28?

No 99% 13 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 28?

No 99% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 27?

No 99% 11 shares
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?

No 99.9% 15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 25?

Yes 99% 15 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 25?

No 99% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 24?

No 98% 11 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 90-91°F on June 24?

No 99% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on June 24?

No 98.1% 10.02 shares