Yes position
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $4.75
- Potential payout
- $231.83
- Potential profit
- $227.08
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Polymarket Trader
viix
0xcba561fe3459fc1b0efacd2641ae428c140fe036
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $375.04
- Realized PnL
- $922.72
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Warsh say "Asymmetric" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $155.89
- Potential payout
- $158.02
- Potential profit
- $2.13
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $35.76
No position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $47.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $52.5
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $9.5
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $43.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $56.5
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $8.5
No position
Will Warsh say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $80.36
- Potential payout
- $80.52
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- User PnL
- $11.09
No position
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $43.04
- Potential payout
- $69.99
- Potential profit
- $26.94
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $5.05
No position
Will Bernie say "Climate" in Maine?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $51
- User PnL
- -$38.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.96
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.2
Yes position
Will Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59
Yes position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.7
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.75
Yes position
Will Trump's remarks not air?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
Yes position
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34
Yes position
Will Josée Massi be the next mayor of Toulon?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33
No position
Will Trump say "War" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.6
Yes position
Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.9
No position
Will Trump say "Soleimani" during WHCA Dinner events?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.29
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.95
No position
Will Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.3
No position
Will Jeff Bezos attend Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.01
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $24
No position
Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Ayatollah" during Monday press conference?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.75
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.12
No position
Will Trump say "Too Late" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.91
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.9
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.9
No position
Will Trump say "Beautiful Woman" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.4
Yes position
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.03
No position
Will Trump say "Bad Bunny" or "Super Bowl" during Fox interview on Tuesday?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Warsh say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during June Press Conference?No 88.8% 13.18 shares
- Will Warsh say "Asymmetric" during June Press Conference?No 76% 158.02 shares
- Will Warsh say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during June Press Conference?No 85.5% 67.34 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 53% 100 shares
- Will Bernie say "Elon" or "Musk" in Maine?Yes 94% 27 shares
- Will Bernie say "Healthcare" 4+ times in Maine?Yes 85% 56 shares
- Will Bernie say "Fight" in Maine?Yes 80% 50 shares
- Will Bernie say "Climate" in Maine?No 75.4% 51 shares
- Will Bernie say "Tariff" in Maine?No 94.3% 60 shares
- Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during events in Rockland County?No 83% 100 shares
- Will Trump say "Job" 7+ times during events in Rockland County?Yes 88% 100 shares
- Will Trump say "War" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?No 67.4% 100 shares