Polymarket Trader

lazylanzi

0xcbcc79a92f4730a8bdd9874f1e2704da57fe1377

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $125.37
Realized PnL: $99.1
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $80.9
Potential payout: $127.4
Potential profit: $46.5
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $26.12

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $34.38
Potential profit: $33.21
Multiplier: 29.41x
User PnL: -$4.88

Yes position

Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $19.35
Potential payout: $32.52
Potential profit: $13.17
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $10.16

Yes position

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $23.96
Potential payout: $30.32
Potential profit: $6.37
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $3.3

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $4.17
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.15
Potential profit: $1.15
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Paper Rex position

Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.1

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.41

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.36

G2 position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.7

Leviatán Esports position

Valorant: Team Vitality vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.85

Leviatán Esports position

Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.52

Leviatán Esports position

Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 3 Winner

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.92

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.25

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

EDward Gaming position

Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.61

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$3.41

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

No 16% 28.12 shares
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 68.1% 30.32 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

No 17.6% 62.5 shares
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Yes 25% 69.09 shares
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Yes 27% 37.89 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Team Falcons 42% 23.81 shares
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

FURIA 99.9% 40.11 shares
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 3 Winner

Leviatán Esports 99.9% 18.11 shares
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner

FURIA 99.9% 10.4 shares
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 3 Winner

Leviatán Esports 61.7% 18.11 shares
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner

Leviatán Esports 99.9% 21.17 shares
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner

FURIA 59% 10.41 shares