Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.62K
- Potential profit
- $9.62K
- User PnL
- -$563.71
Polymarket Trader
0xCBD11df32CA8D0f480E8C04487504BD42C87C9b5-1772966737247
0xcbd11df32ca8d0f480e8c04487504bd42c87c9b5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $150.71
- Realized PnL
- $385.54
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $18.33
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.32K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$11.67
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $31.18
- Potential payout
- $2.71K
- Potential profit
- $2.68K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$268.82
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $6.67
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.66K
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.33
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $5.83
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.66K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$4.17
Yes position
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $5.71
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.42K
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.29
France position
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$400
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $824.7
- Potential profit
- $824.7
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $821.61
- Potential profit
- $821.61
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $769.23
- Potential profit
- $769.23
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $23.63
- Potential payout
- $685.07
- Potential profit
- $661.43
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$26.36
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $556.53
- Potential profit
- $556.53
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.2%
- Current value
- $22.5
- Potential payout
- $312.5
- Potential profit
- $290
- Multiplier
- 13.89x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $294.12
- Potential profit
- $294.12
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $260.46
- Potential profit
- $260.46
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.32
- Potential payout
- $211.93
- Potential profit
- $211.61
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$9.68
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $5.06
- Potential payout
- $166.04
- Potential profit
- $160.98
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$14.94
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $23.5
- Potential payout
- $162.09
- Potential profit
- $138.59
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$6.5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $6.61
- Potential payout
- $136.36
- Potential profit
- $129.75
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- -$8.39
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.65
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$8.65
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 10?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $93.52
- Potential profit
- $93.52
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $72.46
- Potential profit
- $72.46
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.11
- Potential profit
- $50.11
- User PnL
- -$22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 0 England?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $385.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5% 1,000 shares
- France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceFrance 36% 1,111.11 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.6% 1,666.67 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?No 10% 100 shares
- Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?Yes 0.7% 1,428.57 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?Yes 0.9% 1,666.67 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?Yes 11% 136.36 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes 12% 166.04 shares
- President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?No 8% 312.5 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes 18.5% 162.09 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Yes 4.7% 211.93 shares
- Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?Yes 7.3% 685.07 shares