Polymarket Trader

Taurum

0xcbf25b36beb4b572cf704583afa8c21f7ffa4d8e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $152.13
Realized PnL: $220.44
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $152.13
Potential payout: $2.34K
Potential profit: $2.19K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$113.87

Yes position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $222.22
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.9

No position

Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 28?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$0.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.39

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?

Yes 9% 222.22 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Yes 1.6% 2,138.88 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Yes 3.6% 2,138.89 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 18% 122.22 shares
Natural Disaster in 2026?

Yes 47% 41.77 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Up 42% 16.7 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Up 59% 16.46 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Down 84% 5.9 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Up 34% 18.03 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Up 27.5% 17.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Down 69.9% 6.99 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Up 8% 9.65 shares