Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $29.74
- Potential payout
- $65.36
- Potential profit
- $35.62
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $0.98
Polymarket Trader
leahlewis
0xcbf9f896f2b08b77641c07577a8696a414e2dcde
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $29.74
- Realized PnL
- $174.67
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.57
- Potential profit
- $15.57
- User PnL
- -$5.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.27
Heat position
Cavaliers vs. Heat
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.64
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.13
Warriors position
Warriors vs. Spurs
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.39
Florida International position
Liberty vs. Florida International
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.89
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.85
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Bucks position
NBA Playoffs: Pacers vs. Bucks (To Advance)
Ends May 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 38.4%
- Multiplier
- 2.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.24
No position
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 25?Yes 44% 65.36 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 24?Yes 35% 15.57 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 22?No 76% 21.78 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 21?Yes 30% 33.13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 18?No 72% 38.75 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on June 17?Down 58% 39.02 shares
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Golden State ValkyriesLos Angeles Sparks 35% 17.83 shares
- Hurricanes vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights 48% 36.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 13?Yes 40% 31.88 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 11?Down 27% 22.22 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETDown 44% 41.55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 30?Yes 32.1% 29.5 shares