Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- User PnL
- -$4
Polymarket Trader
0xCc03b2e316a07912C72604c8557AB5C802b4662B-1765350997489
0xcc03b2e316a07912c72604c8557ab5c802b4662b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.39K
- Realized PnL
- $171.04
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $1.05K
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $91.25
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $92.6
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $967.29
- Potential profit
- $967.29
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $758.57
- Potential profit
- $758.57
- User PnL
- -$2.62
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $318.56
- Potential payout
- $339.79
- Potential profit
- $21.24
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $8.8
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $209.04
- Potential profit
- $209.04
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $101.59
- Potential profit
- $101.59
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $87.67
- Potential profit
- $87.67
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $26.32
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $12.08
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $3.92
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $8.08
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $14.63
- Potential payout
- $15.22
- Potential profit
- $0.59
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $4.63
Over position
England vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.17
- Potential profit
- $11.17
- User PnL
- -$2
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 DR Congo?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- User PnL
- -$2
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Croatia?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- User PnL
- -$1
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 DR Congo?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.56
- Potential profit
- $4.56
- User PnL
- -$1.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.6
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.64
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.45
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.2
Yes position
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.78
Yes position
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.96
Nuggets position
Nuggets vs. Raptors
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.12
Yes position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $200 before 2026??
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Nuggets position
Nuggets vs. 76ers
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Cavaliers position
Cavaliers vs. Pacers
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 DR Congo?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 3.8% 26.32 shares
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5Over 7% 14.29 shares
- Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Croatia?Yes 17% 5.88 shares
- Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31?Yes 25% 16 shares
- Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?Yes 8% 50 shares
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 DR Congo?Yes 22% 4.55 shares
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 DR Congo?Yes 30% 6.67 shares
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 DR Congo?Yes 20% 5 shares
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks 25% 4 shares
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks 35% 5.71 shares
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks 36% 11.11 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes 0.6% 1,166.67 shares