Polymarket Trader

bafanglaicai168

0xcc1c828c23e1dc0ed4bcb49a5f0b8afb0e443439

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $946
Realized PnL: $7.51K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.12K
Potential profit: $2.12K
User PnL: -$328.22

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Japan?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$25.5

Yes position

Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $775.71
Potential profit: $775.71
User PnL: -$251.84

Yes position

Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $339.5
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $360.5
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $24.5

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$125

Yes position

Over $20M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $440
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $60
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $380

Yes position

Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $274.35
Potential profit: $274.35
User PnL: -$129.18

Yes position

Over $10M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $166.5
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $13.5
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $110.7

No position

MegaETH FDV above $1.2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87
Potential profit: $87
User PnL: -$53.74

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45K

Yes position

Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $838.05

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $707.97

Yes position

Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $620.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $335.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $294

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $281.99

Yes position

Perle Labs FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $259.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $234.99

Yes position

Pharos FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.6

Yes position

Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.81

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.36

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.87

Yes position

Fluent FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169.99

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $157.5

Yes position

Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $144

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $144

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $143.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $143.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Over $20M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?

Yes 12% 500 shares
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Japan?

Yes 1.7% 1,500 shares
Spread: France (-1.5) AND Spread: Senegal (-1.5) AND Spread: Spain (-1.5) AND Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5)

1.9% 1,560.81 shares
Cap FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 8% 200 shares
Cap FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 17.3% 200 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? AND Will England win on 2026-06-23?

45.3% 441.7 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 36% 100 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.9% 1,000 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.7% 517.42 shares
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 35% 200 shares
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 32% 400 shares
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 30.6% 175.71 shares