Polymarket Trader

xcs666

@xcss66

0xcc22b73435d21364f15cfe59a4c6a10b03dc1341

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $54.85
Realized PnL: $78.76
Win rate: 59.1%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 22
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $357.14
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $6.95
Potential payout: $273.79
Potential profit: $266.84
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $1.95

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.19
Potential profit: $185.19
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Trump out as President by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.06
Potential profit: $147.06
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $17.76
Potential payout: $131.58
Potential profit: $113.82
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$7.24

Yes position

Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102
Potential profit: $102
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93.21
Potential profit: $93.21
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $5.7
Potential payout: $78.68
Potential profit: $72.97
Multiplier: 13.79x
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$15

No position

Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $2.11
Potential payout: $56.18
Potential profit: $54.07
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$2.89

Yes position

Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $2.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $47.25
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$2.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $8.11
Potential payout: $39.68
Potential profit: $31.57
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$1.89

Yes position

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $9.42
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $29.04
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.83
Potential profit: $25.83
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $2.04
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $22.96
Multiplier: 12.27x
User PnL: -$2.96

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.05
Potential profit: $19.05
User PnL: -$4.95

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $18.52
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Alex Pereira win by KO or TKO?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $10.87
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.58

Yes position

UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.32

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.37

No position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.98

Yes position

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $8.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.15

No position

Will Trump say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during the announcement on Thursday?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.28

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.15

Yes position

Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.87

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.29

Yes position

Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.43

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.98

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.49

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$24.72

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Yes 26% 38.46 shares
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Yes 6.4% 78.68 shares
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 1.8% 273.79 shares
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 AND Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? AND Will France win on 2026-06-30?

19% 30.72 shares
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Yes 23.3% 32.46 shares
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Yes 30.8% 32.47 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Yes 3.6% 76.92 shares
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?

Yes 7.4% 67.57 shares
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?

Yes 7.8% 25.64 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?

Yes 21% 71.43 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 10% 10.2 shares
Will Alex Pereira win by KO or TKO?

Yes 46% 10.87 shares