Polymarket Trader

mmmmdou

@bubblegold2

0xcc248e322a2970311c09de6518dae53e18cea62f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.8K
Realized PnL: $3.12K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $504.95
Potential payout: $8.78K
Potential profit: $8.28K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$395.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.02K
Potential profit: $3.02K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.95K
Potential profit: $2.95K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.71K
Potential profit: $2.71K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.3%
Current value: $952.7
Potential payout: $2.7K
Potential profit: $1.75K
Multiplier: 2.84x
User PnL: $452.71

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.1%
Current value: $475
Potential payout: $2.63K
Potential profit: $2.16K
Multiplier: 5.54x
User PnL: $175

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $1.96K
Potential payout: $2.44K
Potential profit: $475.61
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$36.58

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.22K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $422.71
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $595.86
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$77.29

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $909.09
Potential profit: $909.09
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $777.26
Potential profit: $777.26
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $769.23
Potential profit: $769.23
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $763.26
Potential profit: $763.26
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $734.53
Potential profit: $734.53
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $620.51
Potential profit: $620.51
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $485.47
Potential payout: $581.4
Potential profit: $95.93
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$14.53

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $561.8
Potential profit: $561.8
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $476.19
Potential profit: $476.19
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $416.67
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $404.86
Potential profit: $404.86
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $650.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $541.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $539.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $342.85

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.45

No position

EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.55

Yes position

Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.6

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.17

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.89

Yes position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $48.74

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.72

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.65

Yes position

Will 风无向 Web3Feng win the Synthetix trading competition?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.39

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.41

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.53

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.69

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 82% 2,439.02 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.9% 3,508.77 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.1% 1,234.57 shares
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Yes 14% 294.11 shares
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Yes 8% 555.55 shares
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Yes 8% 555.55 shares
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Yes 27% 172.41 shares
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Yes 20% 238.09 shares
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?

Yes 22% 217.39 shares
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Yes 23% 208.33 shares
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Yes 28% 172.41 shares
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Yes 29% 172.41 shares