Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.02K
- Potential profit
- $53.02K
- User PnL
- -$1.27K
Polymarket Trader
0x2785e7022dc20757108204b13c08cea8613b70a
0xcc2620f9e3cb4498e8aea556764ec341357932ca
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $21.77K
- Realized PnL
- $100.83K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $111.81
- Potential payout
- $31.95K
- Potential profit
- $31.83K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$493.44
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.63K
- Potential profit
- $31.63K
- User PnL
- -$248.34
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$1.56K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $19.97K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- $110.02
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$158.66
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $125.43
- Potential payout
- $15.68K
- Potential profit
- $15.55K
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$314.96
Yes position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.4K
- Potential profit
- $15.4K
- User PnL
- -$333.35
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.29K
- Potential profit
- $15.29K
- User PnL
- -$342.91
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.99K
- Potential profit
- $14.99K
- User PnL
- -$743.5
No position
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.07K
- Potential profit
- $11.07K
- User PnL
- -$380.11
Yes position
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11K
- Potential profit
- $11K
- User PnL
- -$41.8
No position
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.39K
- Potential profit
- $10.39K
- User PnL
- -$51.55
Yes position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.04K
- Potential profit
- $10.04K
- User PnL
- -$271.71
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.02K
- Potential profit
- $10.02K
- User PnL
- -$188.31
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.41K
- Potential profit
- $8.41K
- User PnL
- -$356.57
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $24.39
- Potential payout
- $8.13K
- Potential profit
- $8.1K
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.02K
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.09K
- Potential profit
- $8.09K
- User PnL
- -$245.3
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.06K
- Potential profit
- $7.06K
- User PnL
- -$381.65
No position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $7K
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.48K
- Potential profit
- $6.48K
- User PnL
- -$12.95
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $322.81
- Potential payout
- $6.46K
- Potential profit
- $6.13K
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$240.12
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.3%
- Current value
- $1.21K
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $4.78K
- Multiplier
- 4.94x
- User PnL
- $25.99
No position
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.42K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $20.33K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.06K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.33K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.86K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.75K
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $4.57K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49K
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85K
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.56K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.87K
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.52K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $1.4K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
No position
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $932.86
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $931
Yes position
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $918.04
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $807.81
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?No 13.9% 630 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?No 19% 1,123.63 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?No 28.8% 30 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?No 28.2% 1,105 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?No 25% 630 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 8.2% 1,000 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?No 18.1% 450 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?No 11% 1,775.64 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?No 14.5% 234.11 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?No 12.9% 1,255 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?No 20.5% 574.99 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?No 19.3% 2,275 shares