buttcoinjackson

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $81.37
Potential payout: $266.8
Potential profit: $185.43
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $41.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $11.88
Potential payout: $215.99
Potential profit: $204.11
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$37.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $64.61
Potential payout: $177
Potential profit: $112.4
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $0.89

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $120.91
Potential payout: $174
Potential profit: $53.09
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $16.15
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $153.85
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$4.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $37.35
Potential payout: $122.45
Potential profit: $85.1
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $6.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $28.12
Potential payout: $117.18
Potential profit: $89.06
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $2.34

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $83.96
Potential payout: $111.2
Potential profit: $27.24
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $3.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $37.7
Potential payout: $110.87
Potential profit: $73.17
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$5.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $80.3
Potential payout: $109.25
Potential profit: $28.95
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$0.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $74.7
Potential payout: $107.5
Potential profit: $32.8
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$7.23

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $78.75
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $11.25
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $17.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $70.11
Potential payout: $85.5
Potential profit: $15.39
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $9.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81
Potential profit: $81
User PnL: -$26.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $27.25
Potential payout: $79
Potential profit: $51.75
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $5.92

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $39.73
Potential payout: $58
Potential profit: $18.27
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$1.74

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52
Potential profit: $52
User PnL: -$34.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$16.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.99
Potential profit: $44.99
User PnL: -$18.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.64
Potential profit: $43.64
User PnL: -$17.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $43.45
Potential profit: $42.56
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$1.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.88
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $3.21
Potential payout: $35.64
Potential profit: $32.43
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: $1.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.5
Potential profit: $34.5
User PnL: -$25.53

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.97

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.33

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.37

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 43%
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $4.57

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.83

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 67.5%
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?