Nayara.Rocha

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $464.36
Potential profit: $464.36
User PnL: -$4.64

Yes position

Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $21.74
Potential payout: $304.43
Potential profit: $282.7
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: $4.53

Yes position

Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $20.42
Potential payout: $274.15
Potential profit: $253.72
Multiplier: 13.42x
User PnL: -$2.09

Yes position

Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026?

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $10.56
Potential payout: $150.01
Potential profit: $139.45
Multiplier: 14.20x
User PnL: $1.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $139.42
Potential profit: $139.42
User PnL: -$2.79

Yes position

Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $7.91
Potential payout: $93.11
Potential profit: $85.19
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$10.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.15
Potential profit: $79.15
User PnL: -$15.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.53
Potential profit: $29.53
User PnL: -$7.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.51
Potential profit: $29.51
User PnL: -$9.59

Yes position

Will Xi Jinping purge Zhao Leji in 2026?

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $25.12
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $5.88
Potential payout: $23.55
Potential profit: $17.67
Multiplier: 4.01x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $1.7
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $21.02
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$3.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.98
Potential profit: $19.98
User PnL: -$6.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.66
Potential profit: $19.66
User PnL: -$9.63

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $2.97
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $16.26
Multiplier: 6.47x
User PnL: $0.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.92
Potential profit: $18.92
User PnL: -$4.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.89
Potential profit: $18.89
User PnL: -$3.28

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $18.18
User PnL: -$2.82

Yes position

Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $15.98
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$0.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.62
Potential profit: $16.62
User PnL: -$9.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.83
Potential profit: $15.83
User PnL: -$4.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$7.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.42
Potential profit: $14.42
User PnL: -$4.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.79
Potential profit: $13.79
User PnL: -$9.79

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.89

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET