Polymarket Trader

0xcc3e0Ae2B43398E61223FB03B3651229402DE3dc-1770212267218

0xcc3e0ae2b43398e61223fb03b3651229402de3dc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $207.61
Realized PnL: $1.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$150

No position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $78.85
Potential payout: $190
Potential profit: $111.15
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$42.75

No position

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $128.76
Potential payout: $148
Potential profit: $19.24
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $2.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.45
Potential profit: $7.45
User PnL: -$6.7

Yes position

Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.43
Potential profit: $5.43
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.87
Potential profit: $4.87
User PnL: -$3.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.87
Potential profit: $4.87
User PnL: -$3.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.83
Potential profit: $4.83
User PnL: -$2.56

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.73
Potential profit: $4.73
User PnL: -$1.18

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.72
Potential profit: $4.72
User PnL: -$1.04

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.71
Potential profit: $4.71
User PnL: -$0.89

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.7
Potential profit: $4.7
User PnL: -$0.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $514.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.28

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.95

Vivo Keyd Stars position

LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Leviatan Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Playoffs

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.51

No position

Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.33

No position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 13?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.06

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

No position

US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.36

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 75% 200 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

No 95% 132.63 shares
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?

Yes 92% 5.43 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 24?

No 99.9% 5.06 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 24?

No 79% 5.06 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 24?

Yes 21% 2.88 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 24?

Yes 20.7% 18.29 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 24?

Yes 27.6% 21.18 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 24?

Yes 32% 18.91 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Down 63% 8.47 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Down 59% 8.47 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Down 89% 5.62 shares