Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.12K
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $160.56
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $6.42
Polymarket Trader
besofmyra
0xcc486b83c61d3948dcd0150e63a9bd596cd8bab5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.28K
- Realized PnL
- $2.05K
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $802.1
- Potential payout
- $802.5
- Potential profit
- $0.4
- User PnL
- $52.1
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $318.98
- Potential payout
- $321.56
- Potential profit
- $2.57
- User PnL
- $18.18
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.4%
- Current value
- $9.93
- Potential payout
- $11.36
- Potential profit
- $1.43
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $10.06
- Potential payout
- $10.88
- Potential profit
- $0.82
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $9.97
- Potential payout
- $10.47
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
N
No position
Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $0.87
- Potential payout
- $1.16
- Potential profit
- $0.29
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $0.21
- Potential payout
- $1.06
- Potential profit
- $0.86
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $994.15
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.39
Yes position
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.48
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $176.47
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.12
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.41
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.57
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.28
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.84
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.6
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.06
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.37
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.72
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.13
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.95
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.47
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Michael position
The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 87% 1,284.48 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 92% 10.87 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No 95.5% 10.47 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 88% 11.36 shares
- Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 86% 1.16 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?No 93.5% 321.55 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No 88.1% 341.67 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No 91.1% 341.68 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?No 95.1% 327.18 shares
- Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?No 64% 12.16 shares
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%?No 93.5% 802.5 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 88% 1,136.36 shares