Yes position
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$6
Polymarket Trader
0xCC4984B3d0fa33f0ACD40e73D43619283d39c7a9-1761451510307
0xcc4984b3d0fa33f0acd40e73d43619283d39c7a9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $245.4
- Realized PnL
- $9.49
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $175.14
- Potential payout
- $177.53
- Potential profit
- $2.4
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $66.14
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $70.26
- Potential payout
- $107.27
- Potential profit
- $37.01
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $11.26
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.41
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.63
- Potential profit
- $15.63
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.31
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.87
Yes position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
Yes position
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Yes position
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Yes position
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$4.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.4% 3,018.57 shares
- Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.8% 218.87 shares
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes 4.2% 95.23 shares
- Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Yes 2% 100 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes 2% 58.82 shares
- Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.9% 1,958.43 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: MayNothing 83% 46.15 shares
- Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Yes 2.5% 562.69 shares
- Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes 1% 111.11 shares
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?Yes 0.2% 500 shares
- Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?Yes 1.1% 142.85 shares
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?Yes 0.3% 500 shares