Polymarket Trader

bigmula27

0xcc5923b13ebf6d5e4a7c1caf09a283d8f674fce1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.76K
Realized PnL: $8.67K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $301.28
Potential payout: $12.82K
Potential profit: $12.52K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$198.71

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $503.52
Potential payout: $704.23
Potential profit: $200.7
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $3.52

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $530.26
Potential profit: $530.26
User PnL: -$325

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $242.65
Potential payout: $490.2
Potential profit: $247.55
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$7.35

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $200.02
Potential payout: $465.16
Potential profit: $265.14
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $462.96
Potential profit: $462.96
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $252.16
Potential payout: $431.03
Potential profit: $178.88
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $2.16

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $420.83
Potential profit: $420.83
User PnL: -$202

Yes position

Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $261.47
Potential payout: $368.26
Potential profit: $106.8
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $61.47

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $338.98
Potential profit: $338.98
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $328.95
Potential profit: $328.95
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $154.97
Potential profit: $154.97
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.17
Potential profit: $73.17
User PnL: -$60

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35K

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $966.55

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $538.46

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $512.68

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $371.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $290

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $289.98

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $261.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.97

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $211.71

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.55

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $161.24

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.51

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $49.39

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.74

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Yes 54.3% 368.26 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 43% 465.16 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 51% 490.2 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 71% 704.23 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 58% 431.03 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 95.9% 4,692.76 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 51% 490.2 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 68% 1,470.59 shares
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

No 24% 208.33 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 65% 384.62 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.9% 12,820.51 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 94% 714.28 shares