No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.05
Polymarket Trader
Margotach3
0xcc5c28b26d7ab4b4ef85233a474cde05846e1df3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3
- Realized PnL
- $14.02
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.18
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.97
No position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 41-42°F on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Aaron Rodgers retire?
Ends Sep 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Elon tweet 650 or more times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.3%
- Multiplier
- 10.81x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No 92% 17 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 88.4% 20 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 94% 17 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 18% 32.35 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 78% 23 shares
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 96% 21 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 43% 41 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 53% 37 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 9?No 99.8% 19 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 9?No 99.3% 19 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No 55% 32 shares
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No 98.5% 18 shares