Polymarket Trader

sf1379

0xcc60f02367a9d048eb32f49380d513fee41c777f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.61K
Realized PnL: $635.97
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $43.1
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $106.32

ETH position

First to 5k: Gold or ETH?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $995.05
Potential profit: $995.05
User PnL: -$436.49

Yes position

Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

No position

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $181
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $19
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $13

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $191.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $8.7
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $25.3

No position

Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 63-64°F on December 12?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $102.43
Potential payout: $107.65
Potential profit: $5.22
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $2.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Time announce Person of the Year on December 11?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.29
Potential profit: $89.29
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will KPop Demon Hunters be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.85
Potential profit: $70.85
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$3.15

No position

Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.05
Potential profit: $49.05
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$26.4

No position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $14.03
Potential payout: $32.26
Potential profit: $18.23
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $4.03

Yes position

Panick in the White House

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$1

No position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $18
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $2
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $4.4

No position

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.2

No position

Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$1.04

No position

Will Rory McIlroy be named the 2025 BBC Sports Personality of the Year?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.9

No position

Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$6.1

No position

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5.7

Yes position

Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Taylor Swift rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.49

No position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.39

Yes position

Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.95

No position

Will the Gaza–Israel conflict be the #1 searched news on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.15

No position

Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.94

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.56

Yes position

Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.61

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.41

No position

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.93

Yes position

Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.5

No position

Will Charlie Kirk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.3

No position

Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.45

No position

Will Jensen Huang be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.15

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.4

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.1

No position

Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.41

No position

Will Pope Leo XIV be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.77

No position

Will Trump deport less than 250,000?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.75

No position

Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.26

Yes position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.22

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.7

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.3

No position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

No 99.4% 505.17 shares
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

No 12.1% 19.9 shares
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

No 11.9% 32.78 shares
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?

No 68% 29.41 shares
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

No 50.2% 19.9 shares
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

No 61% 32.79 shares
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

No 98.7% 405.17 shares
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

No 31% 32.26 shares
Xi Jinping out before 2027?

No 92.9% 107.64 shares
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Yes 68% 14.71 shares
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?

No 66% 40 shares
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?

No 98.9% 100 shares