Yes position
Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
DERELICTE!
0xcc729dd8c201c2b9cf491074ff0898cde203c3d1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.12
- Realized PnL
- $104.83
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Jack Lowdon announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $5.83
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.66K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.68
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.32
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $225.7
- Potential profit
- $225.7
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $207
- Potential profit
- $207
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $185.19
- Potential profit
- $185.09
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.91
Yes position
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $177.23
- Potential profit
- $176.97
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$14.73
Yes position
Will the US strike another country first?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $172.28
- Potential profit
- $172.28
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will the US strike Cuba next?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $112
- Potential profit
- $112
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $110
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.93
- Potential profit
- $99.93
- User PnL
- -$5.33
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85.9
- Potential profit
- $85.9
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the US strike Mexico next?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.6
- Potential profit
- $74.6
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.29
- Potential profit
- $64.29
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will "Sirāt" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $58.82
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $3.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $46.75
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Yes position
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.41
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.33
Seahawks position
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.56
Yes position
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.79
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.69
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.82
Yes position
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.15
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.65
Yes position
Will Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
Seahawks position
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
Yes position
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-07?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
US government shutdown in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
70k position
Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Blue Jays position
Spread: Rays (-1.5)
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.9% 171.29 shares
- Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 7% 14.29 shares
- Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 32% 3.13 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 35.6% 2.81 shares
- Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.8% 35.71 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 28% 3.57 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?Yes 3.7% 27.03 shares
- Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?Yes 3.9% 25.64 shares
- Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?Yes 10% 10 shares
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Under 32% 3.13 shares
- Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?Yes 7% 142.86 shares
- Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?Yes 0.3% 835.75 shares